Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.003498 0.003673 0.003853 0.004050 0.004262 0.004482 0.004729
2025-04-27 0.003237 0.003503 0.003787 0.004113 0.004478 0.004877 0.005347
2025-05-04 0.003011 0.003323 0.003665 0.004070 0.004538 0.005065 0.005710
2025-05-11 0.002846 0.003191 0.003576 0.004043 0.004597 0.005239 0.006046
2025-05-18 0.002709 0.003077 0.003496 0.004013 0.004640 0.005384 0.006346
2025-05-25 0.002645 0.003041 0.003500 0.004078 0.004794 0.005664 0.006818
2025-06-01 0.002549 0.002961 0.003446 0.004065 0.004846 0.005815 0.007131
2025-06-08 0.002454 0.002876 0.003379 0.004031 0.004868 0.005924 0.007390
2025-06-15 0.002352 0.002778 0.003291 0.003965 0.004842 0.005967 0.007560
2025-06-22 0.002263 0.002693 0.003215 0.003910 0.004826 0.006019 0.007740
2025-06-29 0.002208 0.002647 0.003186 0.003912 0.004883 0.006169 0.008059
2025-07-06 0.002104 0.002535 0.003070 0.003794 0.004774 0.006087 0.008045
2025-07-13 0.002059 0.002498 0.003048 0.003803 0.004836 0.006245 0.008385
2025-07-20 0.002037 0.002490 0.003064 0.003860 0.004968 0.006504 0.008889
2025-07-27 0.001978 0.002431 0.003010 0.003821 0.004962 0.006565 0.009098
2025-08-03 0.001928 0.002383 0.002968 0.003796 0.004975 0.006654 0.009350
2025-08-10 0.001879 0.002335 0.002925 0.003769 0.004982 0.006731 0.009588
2025-08-17 0.001866 0.002334 0.002945 0.003829 0.005116 0.007004 0.010152
2025-08-24 0.001828 0.002297 0.002916 0.003816 0.005144 0.007115 0.010458
2025-08-31 0.001785 0.002253 0.002874 0.003785 0.005141 0.007180 0.010689
2025-09-07 0.001733 0.002196 0.002813 0.003725 0.005092 0.007167 0.010787
2025-09-14 0.001687 0.002146 0.002760 0.003674 0.005055 0.007173 0.010917
2025-09-21 0.001661 0.002122 0.002744 0.003676 0.005099 0.007308 0.011278